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Lesson 4.1 | The trap of waiting for the “right time”

Lessons

12 December 2025

3 min read

Trying to perfectly time the market is almost impossible. Starting earlier usually matters more than timing it perfectly.

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Written by

Ana Kresina

Big idea: Trying to perfectly time the market is almost impossible. Starting earlier usually matters more than timing it perfectly.

Many people wait for:

  • 'the next dip'
  • 'the right moment'
  • 'better conditions'

But markets often move unexpectedly.

Some of the strongest growth days happen right after the biggest drops — and missing even a few of those can impact long-term returns.

Big rebounds often arrive while things still feel uncertain, which is why so many people miss them.

Why waiting feels safe (but rarely helps)

Waiting can feel logical. But while you wait:

  • your money isn’t invested
  • you miss potential gains
  • compounding is delayed
  • you stay in “decision mode” instead of “action mode”

📊 Quick fact: If you had invested in the S&P 500 for 20 years and missed just the 10 best trading days , your overall return would be cut by more than half compared with staying fully invested the entire period — simply because those top days matter so much.

Most people miss those top days not on purpose, but because they pulled out during uncertainty or waited too long to re-enter.

Time in the market, not timing the market

Long-term investors benefit from staying invested through ups and downs — not from predicting them.

Why should I care?

Because waiting for the perfect moment often means never starting.
And you don’t need perfect — you just need to begin.

Remember, the biggest impact you can have is by starting early and staying the course. That’s why time in the market is key.

Try this today

Ask yourself: “If the market dropped 5% tomorrow, would I really know it was the bottom?”

Probably not — nobody does.

And even if it was (or wasn’t), we can’t predict what the market will do next.

Author Profile Picture

Written by

Ana Kresina

Ana Kresina is the Head of Digital Advice at Pearler. She is also the co-host of the Get Rich Slow Club, one of Australia's leading podcasts on long-term investing, budgeting, and savings hacks. Beyond Pearler and the Get Rich Slow Club, Ana has written two books on finance and investing. The first, "Kids Ain't Cheap", explores how to plan financially for parenthood and your family's future. She co-wrote her second book, "How to Not Work Forever", with her Get Rich Slow Club co-host Natasha Etschmann (of @tashinvests fame). Outside of Pearler, writing, and podcasting, Ana lives with her partner and two children in Melbourne. Before moving to Australia, Ana was a competitive roller derby athlete in her birth country of Canada.

Remember, that this is general in nature and doesn't constitute personal advice. Reach out to a financial professional when considering making financial decisions. All figures and data in this article were accurate at the time it was published. That said, financial markets, economic conditions and government policies can change quickly, so it's a good idea to double-check the latest info before making any decisions.

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