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Are REITs rather moving with the share or the property market?

Hi everyone, I was wondering whether or not it is possible to say that REITs are rather moving with the share market or with the property market. I understand that different REITs have exposure to different types of properties and hence might behave differently. My understanding is also that most REITs concentrate on commercial property and that returns do not necessarily align with residential property. But being the more liquid-able asset compared to owning property outright, does that change anything about the dynamics of this asset class? I’m aware that roughly 6% of the ASX200 are coming from the real estate sector and that similar figures probably apply to other indexes. Ultimately it leads to the question whether or not additional exposure to REITs can be beneficial when not owning property. I acknowledge that this depends on personal circumstances, so maybe see it rather as a general discussion what REITs do to a portfolio in terms of market exposure, risk, expected returns and volatility. Cheers Dave

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Dave Gow - Strong Money Australia

INVESTOR

6 months ago

Hi Dave.

REITs are moving more in line with interest rate expectations than anything else. The share market does tend to move along these lines also, but REITs have a more amplified exposure to it because of the debt they carry.

They definitely don’t move in line with residential property, it’s an entirely different market with its own set of supply/demand forces at play.

If someone doesn’t own any residential property, there’s little specific benefit they’d get by owning REITs. It’s not a replacement or replica of property ownership, other than the fact that there’s building ownership involved.

REITs suit an investor who wants more of their money parked in bricks and mortar I suppose. There’s an argument that commercial property is underrepresented in the stock market indexes compared to the industry’s asset value as a whole.

While acknowledging that REITs have the same risks as other shares in terms of management risk, even if the underlying assets won’t go to zero like a business can. They’ll typically provide a higher yield than other assets like shares, which may suit the investor, but the capital growth will typically be less. Of course, all sorts can happen over various timeframes but that’s the general rule.

That’s my 2c anyway!
Dave

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Dave

INVESTOR

6 months ago

Hi Dave,

thank you for the explanation. Especially the part about the interest rates was new to me but makes total sense.

The typically higher yield / lower growth mainly results from the fact that they are legally obliged to distribute a high percentage of their income to shareholders to qualify as a REIT I assume?

That they use debt is probably simply because of the leverage, but I guess that they have to return a large portion of their cashflow back to the investors, will play a role as well.

I’m a bit smarter now though REITs are still mysterious to me and hence I won’t invest in any anytime soon or maybe ever. Stay within your circle of confidence :)

PS: I had to laugh when I saw the notification yesterday that you commented on my post. I was reading your book at the time 😃 Great read by the way, finished in two nights.

Cheers
A different Dave

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